Neural Video Coding under Limited Delay: Theoretical Optimality and System Design

Traditional neural video compression (NVC) methods predominantly follow strictly causal predictive-coding paradigm, treating zero-frame delay as a fixed constraint rather than delay as an explicit design parameter. From an information-theoretic perspective, allowing limited frame delay enables a codec to exploit correlations with future frames within the delay window, thereby reducing uncertainty that is inaccessible to strictly causal prediction and potentially improving the rate-distortion tradeoff. In this work, we formalize this intuition through a rigorous rate-distortion analysis builds on the clique factorization of Markov networks, and propose Graph-Factored Sequential Coding (GFSC), a principled framework for sequential video coding under limited delay. To our knowledge, we provide the first theoretical result showing that, for general K-order Markov sources with positive distributions, a K-frame delay is sufficient to attain joint-coding rate-distortion optimality over a nontrivial distortion region, a guarantee unavailable to zero-delay causal coding in general. In practice, we instantiate GFSC through lightweight neural modules, allowing existing causal predictive codecs to be augmented without modifying their core architectures. Experiments across multiple NVC models and datasets show that GFSC consistently improves rate-distortion performance over the corresponding causal counterparts. Under matched delay budgets, GFSC also achieves competitive performance compared with representative bidirectional codecs.