CVTA: Cross-Variable Temporal Attention for Multivariate Irregular Time Series Prediction

arXiv:2610.25584 · cs.LG · Submitted 2026-10-18 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-10-18

Updated: 2026-10-18

Comments: Accepted at the Fortieth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2026), Main Track

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Irregularly sampled multivariate time series arise in many real-world domains such as healthcare, climate science, and large-scale monitoring systems.

Abstract

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series arise in many real-world domains such as healthcare, climate science, and large-scale monitoring systems. Characterized by asynchronous observations and heterogeneity across variables, such time series pose significant challenges for forecasting. In this work, we introduce Cross-Variable Temporal Attention (CVTA), a short-term, continuous-time forecasting framework that learns prediction functions from its compact, interpretable state summarizing recent temporal dynamics across variables. CVTA uses Variable-Conditioned Embeddings to project heterogeneous variables into variable-specific latent spaces, and applies temporal attention to capture cross-variable dependencies from this state. Furthermore, we demonstrate that CVTA can be integrated as an auxiliary module into existing state-of-the-art prediction models through a dynamic meta-decision model. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world benchmarks show that CVTA achieves strong short-term predictive accuracy, supports efficient online inference, improves existing prediction models when used as an auxiliary module, and learns attention patterns that align well with domain knowledge.

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