The Limits of Tidal Circularization and Atmospheric Escape for Mini-Neptunes and Super-Earths: The Case of TOI-2257 b

With a 35-day orbital period and about 0.5 eccentricity, TOI-2257 b occupies a sparsely populated corner of transiting mini-Neptune parameter space and may lie near the orbital distance at which tidal and atmospheric escape process become negligible. To test this hypothesis, we performed simulations of the combined stellar, tidal, and atmospheric evolution and confirmed that TOI-2257 b does lie near this boundary, regardless of whether it formed with or without a primordial hydrogen envelope. In the mini-Neptune scenario, we find that all cases retain an envelope of at least 0.02 M for 8 Gyr, but that the envelope mass can be halved if it was initially larger than 0.2 M. We find that tidal evolution only occurs for cases with initial envelope masses larger than 0.02 M because their radii are large enough to generate significant torques. In the super-Earth scenario, the planet could lose about 10 Earth ocean masses of surface water during the about 75 Myr pre-main sequence and therefore could be habitable if it formed with 2x Earth's surface water mass. The predicted tidal heating surface flux tends to be similar to Io, with no cases approaching the flux required to drive a runaway greenhouse. We find that if the planet is rocky, then eccentricities larger than 0.62 today are strongly disfavored, implying that larger eccentricities could confirm the gaseous nature of the planet. These results suggest that TOI-2257 b could provide valuable constraints on mini-Neptune properties and new insight into the radius valley shape as a function of eccentricity.