Model-free Bayesian Clustering and Multimodal Posterior Summarisation
stat.ML, cs.LG
Submitted: 2026-10-09
Updated: 2026-10-09
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: We develop a model-free, noise-aware Bayesian clustering framework that constructs a martingale posterior over clusterings from a predictive Bayesian perspective.
Terminology
Abstract
We develop a model-free, noise-aware Bayesian clustering framework that constructs a martingale posterior over clusterings from a predictive Bayesian perspective. This avoids explicit likelihood-prior model specification, expensive MCMC sampling, and mode-seeking variational approximations, while accommodating irregular cluster shapes and enabling parallel generation of posterior draws. To interpret the posterior over high-dimensional, noise-aware clusterings, we introduce a Wasserstein-type summarization method. Using a novel noise-aware loss, this approach compresses the large collection of posterior draws into a small set of weighted representatives, capturing distinct cluster structures and noise assignments. Further, we marginalise the uncertainty in the density level, avoiding reliance on a specific choice. We establish theoretical properties of the proposed loss and guarantees for the level-marginal posterior approximation. Results demonstrate the framework's effectiveness in capturing clustering and noise uncertainty.
Sources
- Understanding uncertainty in Bayesian cluster analysis
- Scalable Posterior Uncertainty for Flexible Density-Based Clustering
- Conformalized Bayesian Inference, with Applications to Random Partition Models
- Lower-dimensional posterior density and cluster summaries for overparameterized Bayesian models
- Bayesian Level Set Clustering
- PiVoT: A Variational Solution for Real-time Large-scale Multi-object Detection and Tracking under Heavy Clutter
- TabMGP: Martingale Posterior with TabPFN
- Uncertainty Quantification in Bayesian Clustering
- dirichletprocess: An R Package for Fitting Complex Bayesian Nonparametric Models
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