ASTRAL: A Framework for Optimal Placement and Emulation of Stellar Evolution Models
astro-ph.SR, astro-ph.GA, astro-ph.HE, astro-ph.IM
Submitted: 2026-10-07
Updated: 2026-10-07
Comments: accepted to PRD
DOI: 10.1103/spxh-q8cq
Code: https://github.com/astrobarker/astral-gp
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: Generating dense grids of detailed stellar evolution simulations is computationally prohibitive, as resolving progressively complex nucleosynthesis chains and dynamical timescales incurs a rapidly
Abstract
Generating dense grids of detailed stellar evolution simulations is computationally prohibitive, as resolving progressively complex nucleosynthesis chains and dynamical timescales incurs a rapidly increasing computational cost that scales with dimensionality and resolution. Existing simulation grids are sparse, heterogeneous, and often cover disparate regions of parameter space, limiting (direct) systematic comparison and broader generalization to downstream science analyses. We present ASTRAL (Active Simulation Tuning and Regression for Astrophysical Libraries), a publicly available framework for optimal placement and emulation of stellar evolution models. The ASTRAL framework builds surrogate models that provide a continuous representation of the parameter space which is populated by sparse simulation grids. Furthermore, ASTRAL interpolates across the simulation parameter space (e.g. zero-age-main-sequence mass) to predict stellar properties of stars with associated uncertainty estimates for systems not explicitly simulated. We show that ASTRAL significantly outperforms uniform placement in constructing emulation-ready model libraries that capture both global and local variability in the output features. We showcase the performance of our framework in the context of a simple, one-dimensional MESA model. Finally, we examine how our methodology can inform downstream applications by analyzing our emulator's predictive confidence when applied to supernova simulations. We emphasize that, while developed for stellar evolution, the ASTRAL framework is directly extensible to other simulation-driven domains where model evaluations are expensive and parameter spaces are high-dimensional.
Sources
- Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Black Hole Merger
- GW170817: Observation of Gravitational Waves from a Binary Neutron Star Inspiral
- Review of the Advanced LIGO gravitational wave observatories leading to observing run four
- Open data from the third observing run of LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA and GEO
- Binary interaction dominates the evolution of massive stars
- Different to the core: the pre-supernova structures of massive single and binary-stripped stars
- It's written in the massive stars: The role of stellar physics in the formation of black holes
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA)
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Giant Planets, Oscillations, Rotation, and Massive Stars
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Binaries, Pulsations, and Explosions
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Convective Boundaries, Element Diffusion, and Massive Star Explosions
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Pulsating Variable Stars, Rotation, Convective Boundaries, and Energy Conservation
- Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Time-Dependent Convection, Energy Conservation, Automatic Differentiation, and Infrastructure
- Nuclear Neural Networks: Emulating Late Burning Stages in Core Collapse Supernova Progenitors
- BONNSAI: a Bayesian tool for comparing stars with stellar evolution models
- Comprehensive analytic formulae for stellar evolution as a function of mass and metallicity
- Fitting formulae for evolution tracks of massive stars under extreme metal poor environments for population synthesis calculations and star cluster simulations
- Exploring the Parameter Space of Compact Binary Population Synthesis
- Mining Gravitational-wave Catalogs To Understand Binary Stellar Evolution: A New Hierarchical Bayesian Framework
- Statistical Gravitational Waveform Models: What to Simulate Next?
Related papers
- HXI-DLA2: A Physics-Constrained Deep Learning Algorithm for the ASO-S Hard X-ray Imager
- Effect of Neutron Star Jets on Common Envelope Evolution
- Constraining the origin of magnetic white dwarfs
- JW-FD: A 15-Year Multimodal Dataset for Solar Flare Forecasting
- Phlegethon: a fully compressible magnetohydrodynamic code for simulations in stellar astrophysics
- Can MHD Oscillations Modulate Quasi-Periodic Plasma Release from Coronal Streamers?