Information-Dense Synthesis for Molecular Discovery

arXiv:2610.08495 · stat.ML, cs.LG, physics.chem-ph, q-bio.BM · Submitted 2026-10-06 · Read on arXiv

stat.ML, cs.LG, physics.chem-ph, q-bio.BM

Submitted: 2026-10-06

Updated: 2026-10-06

Project page: https://betanalpha.github.io/assets/case_studies/modeling_sparsity.html

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Machine learning can accelerate molecular discovery by designing molecules and planning experiments.

Abstract

Machine learning can accelerate molecular discovery by designing molecules and planning experiments. However, many scientific challenges demand molecules with very rare properties, and in this sparse setting, existing algorithms offer little gain over random guessing. We propose a method to efficiently search large regions of molecular space using algorithmically controlled stochastic synthesis. Rather than design, make and test individual molecules, we design and make complex mixtures, test them as a pool, then deconvolute the molecule-activity map. We optimize synthesis to encode maximal information. Theoretically, this approach can reduce the number of experiments required to find the optimal molecule among d candidates from O(d) to O(d) or O(1). In simulation, on estimated protein fitness landscapes, it finds active molecules with an order of magnitude fewer experiments than existing Bayesian optimization methods.

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