Adaptive Spectral-Koopman Dynamics Modeling for Temporal Domain Generalization

Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG) has emerged to address real-world streaming data with distribution shifts over time. However, existing methods are either prone to overfitting to domain-specific noise in the data space or become overly complex and less interpretable in the parameter space. To bridge these gaps, we propose AdaSpecK, a spectral-Koopman framework with adaptive context extraction for TDG. To mitigate noise fitting to irregularly sampled domains, we introduce spectral-regularized Koopman dynamics modeling, which applies spectral-aware filtering in the latent space to extract denoised low-frequency trajectories and learn a Koopman operator to model the system dynamics in a linearized space. To model complex historical environments under non-stationarity, we design a context-informed heterogeneous pattern extraction mechanism. Specifically, we employ a target-conditioned attention module to attend to distinct past windows, producing a dynamic, target-specific historical summary. By constructing an environmental signature from the current evolutionary pattern, our model adaptively perceives which aspects of the past context are most informative for future prediction via a learned router. Extensive experiments on eight diverse classification and regression benchmarks demonstrate that AdaSpecK achieves state-of-the-art performance. The code and datasets are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Ada-Spec-K.