MW-Nowcast: Six-hour ensemble nowcasting of extreme precipitation

physics.ao-ph, cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-09-28

Updated: 2026-09-28

Comments: 62 pages, 31 figures, 4 tables; includes Extended Data Figures and Supplementary Information

Code: https://github.com/microsoft/MW-Nowcast

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Sources

• Earthformer: Exploring Space-Time Transformers for Earth System Forecasting
• Residual Corrective Diffusion Modeling for Km-scale Atmospheric Downscaling
• PreDiff: Precipitation Nowcasting with Latent Diffusion Models
• Latent diffusion models for generative precipitation nowcasting with accurate uncertainty quantification
• FlowCast: Advancing Precipitation Nowcasting with Conditional Flow Matching
• StormDiT: A generative AI model bridges the 2-6 hour 'gray zone' in precipitation nowcasting
• CasCast: Skillful High-resolution Precipitation Nowcasting via Cascaded Modelling
• DiffCast: A Unified Framework via Residual Diffusion for Precipitation Nowcasting

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