High-dimensional Gaussian Graphical Model Testing for Long-Memory Time Series

arXiv:2609.30565 · stat.ME, math.ST, stat.ML, stat.TH · Submitted 2026-09-24 · Read on arXiv

stat.ME, math.ST, stat.ML, stat.TH

Submitted: 2026-09-24

Updated: 2026-09-24

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Many real-world high-dimensional time series exhibit long-memory, but Gaussian graphical model testing in this regime remains understudied.

Terminology

Abstract

Many real-world high-dimensional time series exhibit long-memory, but Gaussian graphical model testing in this regime remains understudied. We develop a direct, data-adaptive test statistic for assessing conditional independence in the graph structure of stationary Gaussian time series. We establish a finite-sample, Berry--Esseen type Gaussian approximation bound for the statistic, which applies to both short-memory and long-memory time series. The testing procedure is fully data-adaptive using block bootstrap method, on which we provide a finite-sample validity result including in the ultra-high-dimensional scenario, and can be extended to comparing graphical structures in two-sample tests. We also develop a consistency-empowered correction to the statistic and show that such tests attain asymptotic consistency in both size and power. Our proposed method is applied to a real-world fMRI data to understand functional connectivities within brain in different periods.

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