Monitoring Web Agents Without Internal Signals: Observable Trajectories and Key-Step Supervision

arXiv:2609.02057 · cs.AI · Submitted 2026-09-02 · Read on arXiv

cs.AI

Submitted: 2026-09-02

Updated: 2026-09-02

Comments: preprint

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Reliable web-agent monitoring is difficult when model-internal uncertainty signals such as token logits are unavailable.

Terminology

Abstract

Reliable web-agent monitoring is difficult when model-internal uncertainty signals such as token logits are unavailable. In this work, we study prefix-level risk prediction for web agents using observable trajectory signals: given an evolving prefix, estimate whether the current execution remains on track or is tending toward failure. We derive two observable trajectory representations: Macro features summarize cross-step agent--environment behavior and feedback, while Micro features measure the consistency of intention, action, and anticipated state change through repeated black-box queries. Instead of inheriting the final result label, we label the first critical error that remains uncorrected in the observed continuation and is associated with final failure as a key-step boundary, preserving valid early prefixes of failed trajectories as on track. Across WebArena-Lite and Online Mind2Web web agent benchmarks with five open- and closed-source backbones, observable trajectory signals are competitive with internal-signal baselines. The resulting predictors also support early intervention under fixed false-cut budgets and transfer across held-out website categories. These findings show that observable trajectory signals support valuable risk prediction abilities.

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