Verifiable Disaster Storylines and Causal Knowledge Graphs: A Citation-Grounded Pipeline from Heterogeneous Humanitarian Sources

arXiv:2609.00858 · cs.AI, cs.CL · Submitted 2026-09-01 · Read on arXiv

cs.AI, cs.CL

Submitted: 2026-09-01

Updated: 2026-09-13

Journal ref: International Conference on Information Technology for Social Good (GoodIT '26), September 02--04, 2026, Pisa, Italy

DOI: 10.1145/3794786.3830759

Code: https://github.com/idecost/StoryLine_KG

Project page: https://idecost.github.io/StoryLine_

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Effective humanitarian response depends on the rapid synthesis of heterogeneous, high-volume information sources - a task that routinely exceeds human analytical capacity in the critical early hours

Terminology

Abstract

Effective humanitarian response depends on the rapid synthesis of heterogeneous, high-volume information sources - a task that routinely exceeds human analytical capacity in the critical early hours of a crisis. We present a pipeline that combines structured disaster records from EM-DAT with unstructured documents from ReliefWeb and the European Media Monitor (EMM) to produce source-grounded disaster storylines and causal knowledge graphs supporting situational awareness for responders and analysts. Using Retrieval-Augmented Generation, the pipeline extracts structured storylines - tabular event profiles covering 17 fields, from severity and key drivers to child-sensitive impact indicators - and constructs causal knowledge graphs where each node and edge is enriched with citation-grounded explanatory narratives, enabling full traceability back to primary sources. We evaluate the system on three diverse crisis use cases through a human evaluation involving 9 domain expert and 9 non-expert evaluators. Results confirm high retrieval precision, strong faithfulness of extracted causal relations, and a clear expert preference for citation-grounded components over ungrounded alternatives. The pipeline is designed to scale to the full EM-DAT catalogue, with the goal of publicly releasing a new collection of disaster stories complementing the EM-DAT database.

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