Effective Interventions Against AI-Enhanced Scams
cs.CR, cs.CY
Submitted: 2026-09-01
Updated: 2026-09-01
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
The gist: In 2025, scams were responsible for an estimated 442 billion in direct losses globally.
Terminology
Abstract
In 2025, scams were responsible for an estimated 442 billion in direct losses globally. In the United States, reported losses increased by nearly 400% between 2020 and 2025. Though AI in scamming is a relatively new phenomenon, its use significantly changes the economics of scams as well as the bottlenecks in scam operations. In this paper I investigate what interventions will remain effective under this new AI-driven scamming regime. I develop a simple model of scam profits to understand how different interventions asymptotically affect scam operations. I find that three levers--reporting rate, centralization of reporting, and report accuracy--multiply in their effect on expected victims per scam channel, reducing revenue per scam channel while increasing costs. Because effects multiply, interventions affecting all three could have a significant effect on the profitability of the scam business model. My analysis suggests that even modest reporting rates against high-value scam infrastructure could have significant impacts on scam profitability.
Sources
- Exploration of the Dynamics of Buy and Sale of Social Media Accounts
- Victim as a Service: Designing a System for Engaging with Interactive Scammers
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