Equivariant Covariance Tensors: Guaranteed SPD Uncertainty for Tensor-Valued Geometric Learning

arXiv:2608.24386 · cs.LG, cs.AI · Submitted 2026-08-25 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, cs.AI

Submitted: 2026-08-25

Updated: 2026-08-25

Comments: Accepted to ICML 2026

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Tensor-valued prediction is fundamental to geometric deep learning, yet uncertainty quantification (UQ) for such outputs remains an open challenge.

Terminology

Abstract

Tensor-valued prediction is fundamental to geometric deep learning, yet uncertainty quantification (UQ) for such outputs remains an open challenge. While E(3)-equivariant neural networks excel at point estimates, they lack rigorous confidence measures. We focus on symmetric rank-2 tensor prediction, where the target has six Kelvin--Mandel coordinates and full uncertainty is represented by a 6 times6 covariance matrix. We introduce a framework for E(3)-equivariant UQ, modeling the full predictive distribution where both mean and covariance preserve rotational symmetry. Our approach decomposes the covariance into irreducible representations Sym 2(ρ c) 2 times(l=0) 2 times(l=2) 1 times(l=4). By mapping from the flat Lie algebra sym(6) to the curved SPD manifold via matrix exponentiation, we strictly ensure positive-definite covariances while maintaining exact equivariance. Furthermore, we formulate a Log-Euclidean Equivariant Scoring Objective (LE-ESO)---a robust surrogate loss based on the Multivariate Laplace distribution---providing robustness to heavy-tailed errors and stable optimization. Validation on ModelNet40 inertia tensors and Materials Project dielectric tensors demonstrates that our method achieves competitive performance and provides physically consistent, symmetry-preserving uncertainty estimates with useful risk and OOD sensitivity.

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