Bootstrap-Conditioned Action Selection with Tabular Foundation Models

arXiv:2608.06559 · cs.LG · Submitted 2026-08-06 · Read on arXiv

Devansh Gupta, Shiv Tavker, Dmitry Efimov, Suchitra Sathyanarayana, Gitanjali Bhutani, Boris N. Oreshkin

cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-08-06

Updated: 2026-08-10

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Contextual bandits offer a natural framework for sample-efficient personalization, but practical deployment remains difficult under sparse, biased interaction data, unreliable uncertainty estimates,

Terminology

Abstract

Contextual bandits offer a natural framework for sample-efficient personalization, but practical deployment remains difficult under sparse, biased interaction data, unreliable uncertainty estimates, and severe cold starts. We study whether pre-trained tabular foundation models with in-context learning can be turned into randomized policies for online decision making. We propose BC-ICL (Bootstrap-conditioned action selection using ICL), which at each round draws a bootstrap resample of the interaction history, conditions a frozen pre-trained ICL model on that resample, scores all actions, and selects the action with the highest sampled score. We further introduce an arm-context conditioning architecture that promotes shared statistical strength across actions and helps avoid common bootstrap failure modes of isolated-arm bandits. Empirically, this policy delivers strong early-round regret and regret performance on standard contextual bandit suites, outperforming established baselines under a strict online protocol.

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