Prompt-Induced Waste in Coding Agents: Reasoning, Effort, Harness Design, and End-to-End Cost

Two prompts can request the same code change and produce the same correct patch, yet cause a coding agent to perform radically different kinds and amounts of work. We study this effect in a preregistered benchmark spanning 4,644 valid runs, 24 deterministic coding tasks, seven reasoning models, and two real agent harnesses. The central finding is that prompt wording does not merely scale total effort; it changes where that effort is spent. Multiple approaches and deep thinking primarily inflate reasoning. Multiple approaches increases reasoning by 2.4x to 7.4x across all six open models and creates about three elaborated but discarded solution branches, while still yielding only one implemented solution and no success gain. Maximum certainty activates a different pathway: repeated verification propagates into extra test runs, tool calls, turns, latency, and context growth. Runs with high redundant verification cost 18x the clean-run median, execute 2.5x more tool calls, and take 3x longer, again without a success gradient. These mechanisms therefore have distinct cost carriers: some prompts are reasoning-heavy and token-borne, while others are tool-heavy and system-borne. Harness design amplifies both effects and changes cost per successful task by 5x to 30x in our setting. The findings survive a frozen holdout, paraphrase tests, a Kimi-K3 replication, and a first-party Claude Sonnet 5 study. In contrast, bounded-efficiency wording preserves diagnosis and final validation while avoiding the measured waste mechanisms. Prompt engineering for coding agents is therefore work design: it determines what the agent thinks through, what it executes, and when it stops.