Breaking the Curse with BAND: Nonparametric Distribution Estimation in High Dimensions

arXiv:2607.26955 · stat.ML, cs.LG, stat.ME · Submitted 2026-07-29 · Read on arXiv

Shuo-Chieh Huang, Chien-Ming Chi, Jau-er Chen

stat.ML, cs.LG, stat.ME

Submitted: 2026-07-29

Comments: 24 pages, 2 figures, 5 tables

Code: https://github.com/no-name213/band

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Minimax-optimal rates for multivariate distribution estimation are known to suffer from the curse of dimensionality.

Terminology

Abstract

Minimax-optimal rates for multivariate distribution estimation are known to suffer from the curse of dimensionality. We propose a sparse Bayesian network approach in which each conditional probability is estimated using sparsity-aware conditional mean methods. The resulting estimator, BAyesian Network Distribution regression (BAND), handles mixed data types in high-dimensional time series and achieves polynomial total variation convergence rates while allowing the feature dimension to grow polynomially with the sample size. These rates are substantially faster than the classical optimal rates for multivariate histogram density estimators that lack sparsity. Empirical evaluations show that BAND performs competitively for data sampling and confidence region forecasting against a range of state-of-the-art benchmarks.

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