Conformal Prediction with Macro-Coverage Guarantees

arXiv:2606.28598 · stat.ME, cs.LG, stat.ML · Submitted 2026-06-26 · Read on arXiv

Aabesh Bhattacharyya, Tiffany Ding, Rina Foygel Barber

stat.ME, cs.LG, stat.ML

Submitted: 2026-06-26

Code: https://github.com/tiffanyding/macro-guarantees

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Conformal Prediction — 43× in this paper · explained in 11 episodes
• Calibration — 39× in this paper · explained in 9 episodes
• Score Function — 16× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes
• Accuracy — 3× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Exchangeability — 3× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Class Imbalance — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Covariate Shift — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Split Conformal Prediction — 2× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes
• Hierarchical Structure — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Uncertainty Quantification — 1× in this paper · explained in 9 episodes

Sources

• Group-Weighted Conformal Prediction

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