The Ghosts of Polymarket: When Off-Chain Matches Meet On-Chain Reverts

arXiv:2606.16852 · cs.CR · Submitted 2026-06-15 · Read on arXiv

cs.CR

Submitted: 2026-06-15

Updated: 2026-10-10

Code: https://github.com/shenyimings/ghost-hunter

Terminology

• Consistency — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Hybrid Architecture — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Trace — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes

Sources

• Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments & Analysis]
• EIP-7702 Phishing Attack
• Unravelling the Probabilistic Forest: Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
• The Bidding Games: Reinforcement Learning for MEV Extraction on Polygon Blockchain
• The Anatomy of a Blockchain Prediction Market: Polymarket in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
• TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework

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