From Uncertain Judgments to Calibrated Rankings: Conformal Elo Estimation for LLM Evaluation

arXiv:2606.13221 · cs.LG · Submitted 2026-06-11 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-06-11

Updated: 2026-10-23

Terminology

• Accuracy — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Conformal Prediction — 1× in this paper · explained in 11 episodes
• LLM-as-a-Judge — 1× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes
• Position Bias — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Split Conformal Prediction — 1× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes

Related papers

• Polynomial-Augmented Neural Networks (PANNs) with Weak Orthogonality Constraints for Enhanced Function and PDE Approximation
• AIRL-S: Unifying Reinforcement Learning and Search-Based Test-Time Scaling via Adversarial Inverse Reinforcement Learning
• Transformers as Bayesian In-Context Experimenters: Smoothness-Adaptive Efficient ATE Estimation
• Convergence issues in Relational Concept Analysis based on AOC-posets
• Beliefs Beyond Posteriors: The Predictive Cost of ELBO Binding
• Understanding Diffusion Models via Ratio-Based Function Approximation with SignReLU Networks