Aurora Hunter: A Two-Stage Framework for Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting

arXiv:2605.24038 · physics.space-ph, astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.IM, cs.LG · Submitted 2026-05-21 · Read on arXiv

physics.space-ph, astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.IM, cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-05-21

Updated: 2026-09-21

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• AUC — 55× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Generalization — 18× in this paper · explained in 13 episodes
• Calibration — 10× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Ablation — 7× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Hyperparameters — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Regularization — 4× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Two-Stage Framework — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Accuracy — 3× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• F1 Score — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Feature Engineering — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Interpretability — 2× in this paper · explained in 15 episodes
• Robustness — 2× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Ablation study — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Aggregation — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Alignment — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Bayesian Optimization — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Core — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Decoupling — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Distribution Shift — 1× in this paper · explained in 6 episodes
• Generalizability — 1× in this paper · explained in 6 episodes
• Physical Constraints — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Redundancy — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Transferability — 1× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes
• Transformer — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Two-Stage Architecture — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Two-stage training — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Uncertainty Quantification — 1× in this paper · explained in 8 episodes
• University of Electro-Communications — 1× in this paper
• alpha — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode

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