Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H 0 and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing
summary
The gist
The gist The method presents a sound-horizon-agnostic forecast for constraints on H0 and Σmν from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing.
In short
This research forecasts constraints on $H_0$ and neutrino masses ($\Sigma m_{\nu}$) using combined data from BAO, CMB lensing, supernovae, and LSST-like galaxy weak lensing. The method is unique because it treats the sound horizon at baryon drag ($r_d$) as a free parameter instead of relying on standard early-universe calibrations. This allows for a consistency test of $\Lambda$CDM while incorporating realistic systematic uncertainties.
Key concepts
- Sound Horizon at Baryon Drag ($r_d$)
- $r_d$ is the characteristic distance sound waves traveled in the primordial plasma before baryon drag occurred. Instead of fixing this value based on standard early-universe physics, this method treats $r_d$ as a free parameter to test $\Lambda$CDM consistency.
- Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast
- This is a forecasting technique that derives cosmological constraints without needing to assume the standard calibration for the sound horizon. By treating $r_d$ as a free variable, the analysis tests whether $\Lambda$CDM holds true across different assumptions about early-universe physics.
- Systematic Marginalization
- The analysis explicitly accounts for realistic observational errors and biases, such as photometric redshift calibration issues, shear biases in galaxy lensing, intrinsic alignments of galaxies, and baryonic feedback effects. This ensures the constraints on $H_0$ and $\Sigma m_{\nu}$ are robust against these known systematics.
- Joint Parameter Inference
- The method simultaneously infers cosmological parameters like $H_0$, $\Sigma m_{\nu}$, and the free parameter $r_d$. This joint inference allows for a more comprehensive consistency check of the $\Lambda$CDM model by exploring the parameter space without relying on a single, potentially inaccurate, early-universe calibration.
Terminology used across episodes
This episode discusses
- Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H 0 and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing · Paper Radio
- Planck 2018 results. VI. Cosmological parameters
- The Atacama Cosmology Telescope: DR6 Power Spectra, Likelihoods and CDM Parameters
- SPT-3G D1: CMB temperature and polarization power spectra and cosmology from 2019 and 2020 observations of the SPT-3G Main field
- Small Magellanic Cloud Cepheids Observed with the Hubble Space Telescope Provide a New Anchor for the SH0ES Distance Ladder
- Recombination-independent determination of the sound horizon and the Hubble constant from BAO
- A consistency test of the cosmological model at the epoch of recombination using DESI BAO and Planck measurements
- Constraints on neutrino mass and dark energy agnostic to the sound horizon
- A sound horizon independent measurement of H 0 from BOSS, DESI and DES Y3
- H 0 Without the Sound Horizon (or Supernovae): A 2% Measurement in DESI DR1
- Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Inference of the Hubble Constant and Neutrino Mass from BAO, CMB Lensing, and Galaxy Weak Lensing and Clustering
- Calibrating baryonic effects in cosmic shear with external data in the LSST era
- The Simons Observatory: Science goals and forecasts
- DESI 2024 VI: Cosmological Constraints from the Measurements of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations
- DESI DR2 Results II: Measurements of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations and Cosmological Constraints
- The Pantheon+ Analysis: The Full Dataset and Light-Curve Release
- The Pantheon+ Analysis: Cosmological Constraints
- Elucidating CDM: Impact of Baryon Acoustic Oscillation Measurements on the Hubble Constant Discrepancy
- Early Dark Energy Can Resolve The Hubble Tension
- The Ups and Downs of Early Dark Energy solutions to the Hubble tension: a review of models, hints and constraints circa 2023
- Consistency tests of CDM from the early integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect: Implications for early-time new physics and the Hubble tension
The paper
Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H 0 and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing · Read on arXiv
Seyed Hamidreza Mirpoorian, Helena García Escudero, Levon Pogosian, Amy Wayland, David Alonso
Department of Physics, Simon Fraser University · Laboratoire de Univers et Particules de Montpellier, UMR5299-CNRS · Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Southern California · Department of Physics, University of Oxford
Transcript
Introduction to the show: ident: Astrophysics Radio. Generated commentary on the latest astrophysics papers.
Vera: I'm Vera.
Jocelyn: And I'm Jocelyn, here with Subrahmanyan.
Vera: We're looking at the paper: "Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H 0 and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing".
Jocelyn: Here's the gist of the paper. The gist The method presents a sound-horizon-agnostic forecast for constraints on H0 and Σmν from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing.
Vera: This research is significant because it provides a consistency test of ΛCDM without relying on the standard early-Universe calibration of the sound horizon at recombination rd.
Jocelyn: How it works The core methodology involves treating the sound horizon at baryon drag rd as a free parameter and inferring it jointly with other cosmological parameters <ref:2610.31660#pg5> This approach avoids the need for standard early-Universe calibration of rd by treating it as a free parameter <ref:2610.31660#pg5>.
Vera: The analysis incorporates realistic galaxy weak-lensing systematics, explicitly marginalizing over photometricredshift calibration, multiplicative shear biases, intrinsic alignments, and baryonic feedback <ref:2610.31660#pg5>.
Paper summary: Vera: To recap, this paper "Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H zero and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing" presents a forecast combining several major probes. The core idea is treating the sound horizon at baryon drag rd as a free parameter instead of using its standard early-Universe calibration >
Jocelyn: So they use LSST-like galaxy weak lensing and Simons Observatory-like CMB lensing alongside the DESI BAO program and expanded supernova samples to constrain H0 and Σmν jointly <ref:2610.31660#pg1>.
Subrahmanyan: The significance is that this method provides a consistency test of ΛCDM without relying on the standard early-Universe calibration of rd, which is what makes it different from traditional methods >
Vera: But they are upfront about the limitations too. They mention that because rd is left free, the resulting framework isn't fully model-independent, and they interpret their forecasts within standard ΛCDM supplemented by a free rd >
Jocelyn: And they acknowledge that this approach remains sensitive to the assumed early-time cosmology, specifically how theta* combined with CMB lensing and galaxy-lensing information describes both the physics around recombination and the subsequent evolution <ref:2610.31660#pg3>.
Subrahmanyan: So, they’re essentially saying this is a statement about sound-horizon calibration, not about model independence >
Conclusion: Vera: Thinking about the title of "Sound-Horizon-Agnostic Forecast for Constraints on H zero and m nu from BAO, CMB Lensing, Supernovae and LSST-like Galaxy Lensing," it really sums up the ambition of this work. It’s a forecast that tries to get robust constraints on H0 and neutrino masses without being tied down by one specific early-Universe value for the sound horizon >
Jocelyn: And what it implies is that we have a way to test ΛCDM consistency using these diverse measurements, even when we don't rely on the standard calibration of rd >
Subrahmanyan: It means that if our constraints come out and they are consistent across all these probes, it gives us confidence in the structure of ΛCDM across different cosmological scales >
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